I.
Project Identification and
Capital Investment Plan
This section includes the
project identification and estimation of investment
requirements to achieve the city development and
infrastructure goals. The estimation of investment
requirements is based on a broad demand-supply gap assessment
and on unit costs to arrive at a capital investment plan.
Specific projects, however will emerge out of detailed
sectoral master plans and detailed project reports that are
under preparation on the basis of the city development
strategies.
The key areas of intervention /
investment are:
a.
Heritage development and conservation (including inner
city redevelopment, development of religious places, and
riverfront development)
b.
Water Supply (including
refurbishment, augmentation and expansion)
c.
Sewerage & Sanitation (including refurbishment,
augmentation and expansion)
d.
Storm Water Drainage (including refurbishment,
augmentation and expansion)
e.
Solid Waste Management (including refurbishment,
augmentation and expansion)
f.
Transportation Infrastructure (including road
upgradation, widening, beautification, bridges, new roads,
etc.)
g.
Fire Services
h.
Other Infrastructure (including health, education,
other social amenities)
While preparation of sectoral
master plans and detailed projects are underway, a broad
demand-supply gap assessment has been carried out in order to
assess the extent of investment requirement and to arrive at a
preliminary investment phasing and funding plan.
The demand-supply gap
assessment is carried out based on a comparison of the
existing service levels with sectoral norms adopted in
consultation with statutory norms set by utility agencies and
with key stakeholders.
The demand supply gap is
assessed for the current population and for 5-yearly periods
for the period from 2006 to 2025.
The trend-based population
projections are based the second-degree polynomial curve
derived from the past trends in population (see
Figure 7 and
Table 25) The population is projected to grow at a
declining annual rate commencing at 4 percent in 2002 to 2.52
percent by 2025. The 2025 population as per this method is
projected to be about 8.65 lakh. This population projection
is based on the current area under the municipal
jurisdiction.
Figure 7:
Population Trends in Nanded
NWCMC, apart from its own
jurisdiction, extends core services to an additional
population of about 80,000 residing its peri-urban area.
These areas are experiencing a rapid growth of about 4 percent
per annum and are increasingly dependent on the NWCMC for
their urban basic services and other infrastructure
requirements.
Considering this, and the fact
that Nanded is poised for a high growth path as a fall out of
specific measures being contemplated for overall city
development, the population projection for ascertaining the
infrastructure requirements is based on a high-growth scenario
– assuming a modest 4 percent annual growth in population for
the plan period.
The projected population thus
would be to the tune of about 11 lakh by 2025. This projected
population is used as a basis for future planning.
The results of the projections
under the above two scenarios is presented in Table 25.
Table 25: Population Projection
|
Year |
Actual
Population |
Projected Population (Trend Based) |
Projected Population (Assumed Growth Rate) |
|
Population |
Decadal Growth |
Derived Annual Growth Rate |
Assumed Annual Growth Rate |
Population |
|
1971 |
126,518 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1981 |
191,269 |
|
51% |
4.22% |
|
|
|
1991 |
309,316 |
|
62% |
4.92% |
|
|
|
2001 |
430,733 |
|
39% |
3.37% |
|
|
|
2005 |
|
493,735 |
|
3.25% |
4.00% |
503,897 |
|
2010 |
|
575,730 |
|
3.04% |
4.00% |
613,067 |
|
2011 |
|
592,979 |
38% |
3.00% |
4.00% |
637,590 |
|
2015 |
|
664,809 |
|
2.84% |
4.00% |
745,890 |
|
2020 |
|
760,971 |
|
2.67% |
4.00% |
907,489 |
|
2021 |
|
781,053 |
32% |
2.64% |
4.00% |
943,789 |
|
2025 |
|
864,216 |
|
2.52% |
4.00% |
1,104,100 |
A broad demand supply gap
assessment has been carried out based on the existing service
levels and normative demands, in order to assess the extent of
infrastructure interventions required for Nanded during the
period 2006 to 2025. Annexure IV presents the
demand-supply gap assessment and costing workings. It may be
noted that broad unit costs, wherever applicable have been
adopted for the estimation of investment requirement to
address the gaps. In other cases, a lump sum estimate /
provision has been made based on ongoing project development
works and in consultation with NWCMC. The following sections
present a summary of results of the demand-supply gap
assessment and costing.
